Product Code: TBKY
TABLE OF CONTENTS
List Of Contents And Tables
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Tobacco in 2021: The big picture
2021 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
What next for tobacco?
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Tar levels
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Low ignition propensity (LIP) cigarette regulation
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Reduced harm
Vapour products
PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS
MARKET INDICATORS
Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2016-2021
MARKET DATA
Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
Summary 2 Research Sources
CIGARETTES IN KENYA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
High taxation imposed on cigarettes puts pressure on volume sales
Manufacturers focus on producing inexpensive products of a sufficient quality to differentiate them from counterfeits
British American Tobacco explores new export markets as Kenyan sales dip
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Sales set stabilise with the re-opening of the economy
Miraa/khat consumption expected to remain a key sales driver for cigarettes
Rising health concerns are expected to lead to declining sales
TAXATION AND PRICING
Taxation rates
Summary 3 Taxation and Duty Levies 2016-2021
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples
CATEGORY DATA
Table 10 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2016-2021
Table 11 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 12 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 13 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 19 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 20 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 22 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2016-2021
Table 23 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2021-2026
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 25 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 26 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2021-2026
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2021-2026
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2021-2026
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2021-2026
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2021-2026
CIGARS, CIGARILLOS AND SMOKING TOBACCO IN KENYA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
E-commerce thriving in post-pandemic Kenya
Upcoming general elections are expected to drive price increases for cigars and cigarillos
Wealthier consumers continue to drive demand for cigars as a symbol of success
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Resumption of economic activity and the return of tourism spells good news for cigars and cigarillos
International brands will continue to dominate
The fight for gender equality spilling over into demand for cigars and cigarillos
CATEGORY DATA
Table 32 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 33 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 34 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 35 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 36 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 37 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2016-2021
Table 38 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 39 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 40 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 41 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 42 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 43 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 44 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 47 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 48 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
SMOKELESS TOBACCO, E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS AND HEATED TOBACCO IN KENYA
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
High cost limiting uptake of e-vapour products
Small businesses eye opportunities as demand grows
E-commerce proving to be increasingly attractive to shoppers and retailers
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Increased demand among health-conscious consumers set to support growth
Growing Demand from smokers opting to reduce or quit smoking
Younger consumers key to growth
