Product Code: TBNZ
TABLE OF CONTENTS
List Of Contents And Tables
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Tobacco in 2021: The big picture
2021 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
What next for tobacco?
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Vapour products
PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS
MARKET INDICATORS
Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2016-2021
MARKET DATA
Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
Summary 2 Research Sources
CIGARETTES IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Rate of decline in retail volume sales slows but remains deeper than historical norms
Competition from e-vapour products intensifies
Trading down continues as leading players explore diversification opportunities
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Cigarettes set to face new regulatory hurdles over the forecast period
Practical effects of plan to reduce nicotine levels in cigarettes remain uncertain
Adoption of tougher anti-smoking policies risks stimulating illicit trade
TAXATION AND PRICING
Taxation rates
Summary 3 Taxation and Duty Levies 2016-2021
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples
CATEGORY DATA
Table 10 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2016-2021
Table 11 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 12 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 13 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 19 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 20 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 22 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2016-2021
Table 23 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2021-2026
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 25 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 26 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2021-2026
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2021-2026
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2021-2026
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2021-2026
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2021-2026
CIGARS, CIGARILLOS AND SMOKING TOBACCO IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Fine cut tobacco posts steepest volume decline as overall demand continues to fall
Cigarillos shows most resilient performance in retail volume terms
Rate of volume decline in pipe tobacco more stable than in other categories
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Demand for all product types expected to decline throughout the forecast period
Fine cut tobacco set to remain the worst performing category in retail volume terms
Illicit trade likely to increase following enactment of new anti-smoking legislation
CATEGORY DATA
Table 32 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 33 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 34 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 35 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 36 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 37 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2016-2021
Table 38 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 39 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 40 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 41 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 42 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 43 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 44 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 45 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 46 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 47 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 48 NBO Company Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 49 LBN Brand Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 50 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 51 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 52 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
SMOKELESS TOBACCO, E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS AND HEATED TOBACCO IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Migration of smokers to vaping gains momentum
New regulatory regime for e-vapour products phased in
Use of heated tobacco products continues to grow rapidly from a low base
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Tougher anti-smoking laws will reinforce appeal of vaping and heated tobacco
Heated tobacco products set to expand fastest but vaping will remain more popular
Sustainability concerns likely to inhibit demand for single use closed vaping systems
CATEGORY INDICATORS
Table 56 Number of Adult Vapers 2016-2021
CATEGORY DATA
Table 57 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2016-2021
Table 58 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2018-2021
Table 59 Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2016-2021
Table 60 Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2019-2021
Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 63 NBO Company Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2017-2021
Table 64 LBN Brand Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2018-2021
Table 65 Distribution of E-Vapour Products by Format: % Value 2016-2021
Table 66 Distribution of Tobacco Heating Devices by Format: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 67 Distribution of Heated Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 68 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2021-2026
Table 69 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 70 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2021-2026
Table 71 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026