Product Code: TBPT
TABLE OF CONTENTS
List Of Contents And Tables
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
COVID-19 impact on tobacco
COVID-19 country impact
Company response
Retailing shift
What next for tobacco?
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Plain packaging
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Vapour products
PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS
MARKET INDICATORS
Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2015-2020
MARKET DATA
Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
GLOBAL INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
Summary 2 Research Sources
CIGARETTES IN PORTUGAL
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Restrictions on movement and socialising due to COVID-19 cause significant decline in cigarette sales
Some players increase pack sizes to improve consumers' perception of value for money
Tabaqueira gains share while Imperial Brands suffers losses due to COVID-19 impacting the vending channel
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Slight recovery expected amid ongoing decline in smoking prevalence and an increase in economy and illicit sales
Taxes will continue to have a high impact on the sales performance of cigarettes
Little innovation expected from cigarette manufacturers in the forecast period as combustion and vaping systems increase in popularity
TAXATION AND PRICING
Taxation rates
Table 10 Taxation and Duty Levies 2015-2020
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 3 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples
CATEGORY DATA
Table 11 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2015-2020
Table 12 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 13 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 20 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 21 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 23 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2015-2020
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2020-2025
Table 25 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 26 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2020-2025
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2020-2025
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2020-2025
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2020-2025
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2020-2025
SMOKELESS TOBACCO, E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS AND HEATED TOBACCO IN PORTUGAL
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Strong value growth is a result of significant company investment rather than the impact of COVID-19
JUUL and Logic Compact withdraw from non cig-a-like closed system market
Tabaqueira increases the popularity of Iqos by lowering its unit price and opening new IQOS stores
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Strong growth forecast as more consumers shift towards e-vapour products and heated tobacco to replace cigarettes
Forecast recovery of open vaping systems expected to be slow due to reducing availability as a result of fewer vaping specialist retailers
Iqos expected to gain further popularity as a lower-risk tobacco product
CATEGORY DATA
Table 57 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2015-2020
Table 58 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2016-2020
Table 59 Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2015-2020
Table 60 Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2016-2020
Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 63 Sales of E-Liquids by Nicotene Strength: % Value 2018-2020
Table 64 NBO Company Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2016-2020
Table 65 LBN Brand Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2017-2020
Table 66 NBO Company Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 67 LBN Brand Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 68 NBO Company Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 69 LBN Brand Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 70 Distribution of E-Vapour Products by Format: % Value 2015-2020
Table 71 Distribution of Tobacco Heating Devices by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 72 Distribution of Heated Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 73 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2020-2025
Table 74 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 75 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2020-2025
Table 76 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
TOBACCO FREE ORAL NICOTINE IN PORTUGAL
2020 IMPACT
CIGARS, CIGARILLOS AND SMOKING TOBACCO IN PORTUGAL
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Fine cut tobacco sales grow for the first time in years as consumers who are secluded at home under COVID-19 restrictions have time to roll their own
Pipe tobacco maintains strong growth during the pandemic supported by new products and a growing consumer base for water pipe tobacco
New products and the menthol ban push up sales of cigarillos in 2020
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
The easing of COVID-19 restrictions and the increasing popularity of cigarillos and water pipe tobacco will drive the growth of cigars, cigarillos and smoking tobacco
Rising sales expected for cigars as the opportunity for socialising returns with COVID-19 restrictions eased
Fine cut tobacco to return to decline path as home seclusion ends
CATEGORY DATA
Table 33 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 34 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 35 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 36 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 37 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 38 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2015-2020
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 41 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 42 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 43 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 44 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 45 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 46 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 47 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 48 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 49 NBO Company Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 50 LBN Brand Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 51 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 52 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025