Product Code: TBGB
TABLE OF CONTENTS
List Of Contents And Tables
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
COVID-19 impact on tobacco
COVID-19 country impact
Company response
Retailing shift
What next for tobacco?
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Tar levels
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Low ignition propensity (LIP) cigarette regulation
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Reduced harm
Vapour products
PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS
MARKET INDICATORS
Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2015-2020
MARKET DATA
Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
GLOBAL INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
Summary 2 Research Sources
CIGARETTES IN THE UNITED KINGDOM
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Despite decline in number of smokers, smoking rates increased among those who continued to smoke especially during lockdown, with the category also benefiting from bulk buying
Strong channel shift for cigarettes in 2020 in response to the pandemic and lockdown measures as consumers seek to limit their exposure to the virus
Significant downturn of illicit cigarettes as movement and travel restrictions limit supply of these products
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Resumption of declining trend for cigarettes in response to the health and wellness trend, heightened further by the pandemic
Much stronger focus on price likely as recession bites and consumers become more price conscious with this trend also benefiting illicit sales
Government plans a smoke-free UK with tighter regulation and a focus on vaping
TAXATION AND PRICING
Taxation rates
Summary 3 Taxation and Duty Levies 2015-2020
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples
CATEGORY DATA
Table 10 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2015-2020
Table 11 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 12 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 13 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 19 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 20 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 22 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2015-2020
Table 23 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2020-2025
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 25 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 26 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2020-2025
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2020-2025
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2020-2025
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2020-2025
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2020-2025
CIGARS, CIGARILLOS AND SMOKING TOBACCO IN THE UNITED KINGDOM
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Smoking tobacco benefits from consumer drive to attain better value for money due to economic uncertainty created by the pandemic and Brexit
Positive performance for cigarillos thanks to new launches, the ban on menthol cigarettes and consumer price sensitivity
Sales decline for cigars due to cessation of social occasions and the closure of tobacco specialists during the pandemic
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Decelerating growth for fine cut tobacco due to decline in smoking prevalence, competition from vaping and rebound of illicit tobacco
Economic downturn benefits cigarillos as does the ban on menthol cigarettes, while the unhealthy nature of smoking slows sales towards the end of the forecast period
E-commerce continues to garner popularity with convenience stores and supermarkets also maintaining a strong positive trend since the pandemic
CATEGORY DATA
Table 32 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 33 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 34 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 35 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 36 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 37 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2015-2020
Table 38 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 39 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 40 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 41 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 42 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 43 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 44 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 45 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 46 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 47 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 48 NBO Company Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 49 LBN Brand Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 50 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 51 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 52 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
SMOKELESS TOBACCO, E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS AND HEATED TOBACCO IN THE UNITED KINGDOM
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Decelerating growth of e-vapour products due to a number of negative influences
The pandemic stimulates significant channel shift benefiting e-commerce and modern grocery retailers
Strong growth of heated tobacco as demand rises among smokers seeking alternative tobacco products
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Promising future for e-vapour products thanks to government support and the 2021 review of the Tobacco and Related products Regulation
Non cig-a-like closed systems drive overall category growth, while open vaping systems also grow, despite their greater complexity to use
Growing presence of heated tobacco thanks to new launches, wider distribution and preferred user experience
CATEGORY INDICATORS
Table 56 Number of Adult Vapers 2015-2020
CATEGORY DATA
Table 57 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2015-2020
Table 58 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2016-2020
Table 59 Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2015-2020
Table 60 Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2016-2020
Table 61 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 63 Sales of E-Liquids by Nicotene Strength: % Value 2018-2020
Table 64 NBO Company Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2016-2020
Table 65 LBN Brand Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2017-2020
Table 66 NBO Company Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 67 LBN Brand Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 68 NBO Company Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 69 LBN Brand Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 70 Distribution of E-Vapour Products by Format: % Value 2015-2020
Table 71 Distribution of Tobacco Heating Devices by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 72 Distribution of Heated Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 73 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2020-2025
Table 74 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 75 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2020-2025
Table 76 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
TOBACCO FREE ORAL NICOTINE IN THE UNITED KINGDOM
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Nicotine pouches emerge due to growing demand for tobacco alternatives
Nicotine pouches target existing smokers with COVID-19 making people more conscientious about their health
Flavour and nicotine content per pouch are the main selling points and key differentiators
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Growth in nicotine pouches as the category becomes increasingly regulated
More regulation also extends distribution channels of nicotine pouches
Tighter regulations attract a wider range of brands and industry players
CATEGORY DATA
Table 79 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: Volume 2015-2020
Table 80 Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 81 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: Volume 2020-2025
Table 82 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 83 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 84 Forecast Sales of Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
