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South Africa was already in a recession prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, and many consumers did not have the means to stockpile soft drinks in 2020. Soft drinks were classed as essential, and therefore still able to be sold across retail outlets, and there were no major shortages or issues with supply chains as soft drinks tend to be produced locally. As a result, overall unit prices of soft drinks remained stable. Many consumers, notably white-collar office workers, continued to work from home,...
Euromonitor International's Soft Drinks in South Africa report offers a comprehensive guide to the size and shape of the market at a national level. It provides the latest retail sales data (2016-2020), allowing you to identify the sectors driving growth. It identifies the leading companies, the leading brands and offers strategic analysis of key factors influencing the market - be they legislative, distribution, packaging or pricing issues. Forecasts to 2025 illustrate how the market is set to change.
Product coverage: Asian Speciality Drinks, Bottled Water, Carbonates, Concentrates, Energy Drinks, Juice, RTD Coffee, RTD Tea, Sports Drinks.
Data coverage: market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.
Why buy this report?
Get a detailed picture of the Soft Drinks market; Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change; Understand the competitive environment, the market's major players and leading brands; Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.TABLE OF CONTENTS
List OF CONTENTS AND TABLES
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
COVID-19 impact on soft drinks
COVID-19 country impact
Company response
Retailing shift
Foodservice vs retail split
What next for soft drinks?
CHART 1 Soft Drinks Off-Trade Volume Sales Growth Scenarios: 2018-2025
CHART 2 Soft Drinks On-Trade Volume Sales Growth Scenarios: 2018-2025
CHART 3 Soft Drinks Impact of Drivers on Off-Trade Volume Sales: 2017-2025
CHART 4 Soft Drinks Impact of Drivers on On-Trade Volume Sales: 2017-2025
MARKET DATA
Table 1 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2015-2020 Table 2 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 3 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2015-2020 Table 4 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 5 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2019 Table 6 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume 2019 Table 7 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2019 Table 8 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2019 Table 9 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 10 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 11 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 12 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 13 Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: Volume 2015-2020 Table 14 Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 15 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2016-2020 Table 16 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2017-2020 Table 17 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks: % Value 2016-2020 Table 18 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks: % Value 2017-2020 Table 19 Penetration of Private Label in Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume 2015-2020 Table 20 Penetration of Private Label in Off-trade Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2015-2020 Table 21 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format: % Volume 2015-2020 Table 22 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format and Category: % Volume 2020 Table 23 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2020-2025 Table 24 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 25 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2020-2025 Table 26 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025 Table 27 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 28 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 29 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 30 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025 Table 31 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: Volume 2020-2025 Table 32 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2020-2025APPENDIX
Fountain sales in South Africa
Trends
GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
GLOBAL INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
Summary 1 Research SourcesKEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Coca-Cola retains dominance but focuses on various strategies to retain consumers' attention in line with health trend
Larger packaging more popular in 2020, with fewer opportunities to impulse buy smaller packs
Low calorie carbonates resonate thanks to healthier perception and lower prices
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Gloomy economic outlook will see South Africans prioritise value for money in future
On-trade sales of carbonates will play catch up with off-trade sales, as consumers stay at home
Low calorie carbonates will perform better than regular carbonates, with heavier investment from manufacturers
CATEGORY DATA
Table 33 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2015-2020 Table 34 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: Value 2015-2020 Table 35 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 36 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 37 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 38 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 39 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 40 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 41 Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2015-2020 Table 42 Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 43 Leading Flavours for Non-cola Carbonates: % Volume 2015-2020 Table 44 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Volume 2016-2020 Table 45 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Volume 2017-2020 Table 46 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Value 2016-2020 Table 47 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Value 2017-2020 Table 48 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 49 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 50 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 51 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025 Table 52 Forecast Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2020-2025 Table 53 Forecast Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2020-2025KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Price promotions and private label brands attract cash-strapped consumers in 2020
Fluctuations in growth patterns reflect uncertainty in 2020
Leading player Clover faces increasing competition from smaller players with more affordable juice brands
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Price will remain a key factor for consumers over the forecast period
Changes in consumer behaviour will benefit e-commerce in the future
Players likely to reformulate or launch reduced sugar juice to address tax increase
CATEGORY DATA
Table 54 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 55 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 56 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 57 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 58 Leading Flavours for Off-trade 100% Juice: % Volume 2015-2020 Table 59 Leading Flavours for Off-trade Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice): % Volume 2015-2020 Table 60 Leading Flavours for Off-trade Nectars (25-99% Juice): % Volume 2015-2020 Table 61 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Volume 2016-2020 Table 62 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Volume 2017-2020 Table 63 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Value 2016-2020 Table 64 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Value 2017-2020 Table 65 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 66 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 67 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 68 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Limited stockpiling trend but demand for larger pack sizes grows
Coca-Cola South Africa maintains its lead in bottled water, but smaller players and private label gain share
Refill initiatives offer South Africans safe, affordable drinking water
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Gradual move away from carbonates supports demand for flavoured bottled water
Still spring bottled water has a bright future, but growth in functional bottled water will rely on innovation and clever marketing strategies
On-trade sales will continue to decline in 2021 until foodservice establishments resume normal business
CATEGORY DATA
Table 69 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 70 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 71 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 72 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 73 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Volume 2016-2020 Table 74 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Volume 2017-2020 Table 75 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Value 2016-2020 Table 76 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Value 2017-2020 Table 77 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 78 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 79 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 80 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Sports drinks suffers from gym closures and loss of sporting events in 2020
Soft drinks supplies remain stable in 2020, and consumers opt for online shopping experiences
Concentrated competitive landscape, but smaller players slowly gain ground
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Demand for sports drinks will slow as bottled water satisfies basic rehydration needs
Rising health trends can support sales of sports drinks through gyms as South Africans look to increase fitness levels
Smaller players and private label will gain ground in sports drinks, offering price-conscious consumers good value for money
CATEGORY DATA
Table 81 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Volume 2015-2020 Table 82 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Value 2015-2020 Table 83 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 84 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 85 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Volume 2016-2020 Table 86 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Volume 2017-2020 Table 87 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Value 2016-2020 Table 88 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Value 2017-2020 Table 89 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Volume 2020-2025 Table 90 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Value 2020-2025 Table 91 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 92 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Value Growth 2020-2025KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
On-trade closures impacts energy drinks heavily in 2020, but off-trade sales record strong growth
High visibility and new product development enable Coca-Cola to maintain its lead in energy drinks
Smaller players to gain traction with offer of lower priced energy drinks
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Complex factors will lead to an uncertain landscape in energy drinks across the forecast period
Changes in consumer behaviour pose challenges for on-trade growth in energy drinks
Greater scrutiny for energy drinks likely to lead to increased activity in reduced energy drinks
CATEGORY DATA
Table 93 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Volume 2015-2020 Table 94 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Value 2015-2020 Table 95 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 96 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 97 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Volume 2016-2020 Table 98 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Volume 2017-2020 Table 99 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Value 2016-2020 Table 100 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Value 2017-2020 Table 101 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Volume 2020-2025 Table 102 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Value 2020-2025 Table 103 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 104 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Value Growth 2020-2025KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Concentrates records modest growth in 2020 thanks to affordable prices
Diverse product portfolio helps Bromor Foods maintain the lead ahead of Continental Beverages
Few shifts in channel share in 2020, as consumers who purchase concentrates have limited access to online shopping
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Higher dilution ratio could help players mitigate sugar tax issue
E-commerce likely to see minimal growth in concentrates as a result of consumer demographics
Further competition between affordable private label and brands predicted to intensify
CATEGORY DATA
Concentrates Conversions
Summary 2 Concentrates Conversion Factors for Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Format Table 105 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 106 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 107 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 108 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 109 Leading Flavours for Off-trade Liquid Concentrates: % Volume 2015-2020 Table 110 Leading Flavours for Off-trade Powder Concentrates: % Volume 2015-2020 Table 111 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2016-2020 Table 112 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2017-2020 Table 113 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Concentrates: % Value 2016-2020 Table 114 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Concentrates: % Value 2017-2020 Table 115 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Liquid Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2016-2020 Table 116 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Liquid Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2017-2020 Table 117 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Powder Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2016-2020 Table 118 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Powder Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2017-2020 Table 119 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 120 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 121 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 122 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Off-trade volume sales increase marginally, but on-trade growth halves
Leader Lipton feels pressure from smaller dynamic brands
Competition intensifies within RTD tea as smaller players capitalise on rising demand for exciting flavours and healthier variants
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Competition will increase with private label expansion, but carbonated RTD tea is unlikely to reappear
Health trends will increase demand for green tea and rooibos variants
Larger pack sizes will offer convenience and better value for money
CATEGORY DATA
Table 123 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 124 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 125 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 126 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 127 Leading Flavours for Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2015-2020 Table 128 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2016-2020 Table 129 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2017-2020 Table 130 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Value 2016-2020 Table 131 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Value 2017-2020 Table 132 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 133 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 134 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 135 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2020-20252020 IMPACT
2020 IMPACT